• Profile
Close

Predicting severe outcomes in Covid-19 related illness using only patient demographics, comorbidities and symptoms

The American Journal of Emergency Medicine Sep 15, 2020

Ryan C, Minc A, Caceres J, et al. - Researchers aimed at developing a risk-stratification model that may aid in predicting severe Covid-19 related illness, using only presenting symptoms, comorbidities and demographic data. In this case-control study of 556 patients with laboratory confirmed Covid-19, cases were those with severe disease, defined as ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, death or discharge to hospice, and controls were those with non-severe disease. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, following were identified as significant predictors of severe Covid-19 infection: increasing age, dyspnea, male gender, immunocompromised status and CKD. They noted a negative correlation between hyperlipidemia and severe disease. A predictive equation based on these variables showed fair ability to differentiate severe vs non-severe outcomes using only this historical information (AUC: 0.76). These findings suggest that using data obtained from a remote screening, severe Covid-19 illness can be predicted. With validation, this model may allow remote triage to prioritize evaluation based on susceptibility to severe disease while avoiding unnecessary waiting room exposure.

Go to Original
Only Doctors with an M3 India account can read this article. Sign up for free or login with your existing account.
4 reasons why Doctors love M3 India
  • Exclusive Write-ups & Webinars by KOLs

  • Nonloggedininfinity icon
    Daily Quiz by specialty
  • Nonloggedinlock icon
    Paid Market Research Surveys
  • Case discussions, News & Journals' summaries
Sign-up / Log In
x
M3 app logo
Choose easy access to M3 India from your mobile!


M3 instruc arrow
Add M3 India to your Home screen
Tap  Chrome menu  and select "Add to Home screen" to pin the M3 India App to your Home screen
Okay