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CKD progression from the time of estimated GFR–based waitlist eligibility and racial disparities in transplant access

American Journal of Kidney Diseases Sep 23, 2021

Chu CD, Powe NR, Crews DC, et al. - In Black and Hispanic patients, a less chance of being placed on the kidney transplant waitlist was observed in relation to a uniform eGFR threshold. Substantially earlier waitlisting for many Black patients would be achieved via GFR estimation as if their race category were non-Black, however, this would not eliminate their shorter time to kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) as well as decreased opportunity for preemptive transplantation relative to White patients.

  • eGFR equations that include a term for race assign a higher value to Black people than non-Black persons not attributable to gender, age, or serum creatinine.

  • This is a retrospective cohort study of 40,042 White, 8,519 Black, and 3,569 Hispanic patients.

  • KFRT cumulative incidence by 3 years was 20.5% in White patients, 40.9% in Hispanic patients, and 36% in Black patients whose eGFR was calculated employing a race term coded as Black.

  • Such incidence was 28.7% in Black patients whose eGFR was estimated applying a race term coded as non-Black.

  • KFRT risk continued to be greater in Black (HR 1.28) and Hispanic (HR 1.66) vs in White patients, in fully adjusted analyses with 11,269 Black patients with an eGFR <20 ml/min/1.73m 2 based on coding them as non-Black.

  • According to slopes of eGFR reduction, earlier waitlist activation by an estimated median of 0.5 years would be permitted by coding Black patients as non-Black.

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