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Association between estimated glomerular filtration rate and 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk among community residents in Shanghai, China

Nutrition, Metabolism & Cardiovascular Diseases Nov 25, 2021

Zhang Y, Yu Y, Zhu J, et al. - Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) could represent a crucial risk factor in predicting as well as stratifying the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Combining eGFR into existing risk evaluation tools is recommended to enhance predictive performance.

  • From 28,187 participants from Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank study, baseline data were utilized, and experts adopted Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs) and Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China (China-PAR) to estimate 10-year ASCVD risk.

  • A gradual increase in the median of 10-year ASCVD risk was evident with the decrease of eGFR level.

  • The adjusted odds ratios, for males, of 10-year high ASCVD risk by PCEs linked with eGFR (60-74 and <60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ) were 1.52 and 2.51; the corresponding result was significant only for eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , OR of 1.57 for females.

  • When China-PAR was used, the adjusted OR of 10-year high risk related to eGFR<60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 was estimated to be 1.82 (1.40-2.38) in men.

  • By receiver operating characteristic, eGFR holds a good predictive value for 10-year high ASCVD risk.

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